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MLB  |  Aug 31, 2015
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets
New York Mets
-205
  at  5DIMES
in 3h

The Free MLB System Play for Monday is on the NY. Mets art 7:05 eastern. The Mets swept the Phillies last week and have won 12 of the last 13 in the series including 7 straight at home. The Mets are 19-0 as a home favorite off a 1 run win and have won 11 of 13 on Monday. They are 19-6 vs losing teams of late. The Phillies are 0-3 on the road off a home loss by 5 or more runs and have lost 10 of 15 on Mondays. The Mets qualify in a 80% database system and have Colon on the mound who has won 7 of 10 vs Philly and shut them down last week. Philly has Eickhoff going who lost that game to Colon. Look for the Mets to take another from Philadelphia. On Monday there are 2 Perfect systems up one is a totals play that averages over 12 runs in games lined at 8 or less. The Other is a Dominator system that wins by over 3 runs on average. Sunday top Blowout play cashed easily on Cleveland. Jump on now and the End the month and start the week big in Bases with the most powerful data available. For the free play. Make it the Mets. RV

NCAA-F  |  Sep 03, 2015
Texas-San Antonio vs. Arizona
Arizona
-31½-106
  at  PINNACLE
in 3d

Play on Game #148 Arizona Wildcats (9/03/2015)

This is a huge mismatch for Texas- San Antonio in their first game of the season. UTSA only returns 6 starters this season. I will also note that this offense only threw for 5 TD’s last season. They lose ALL of their starting wide receivers and now the leading receivers on the team are their tight end and running back. The new quarterback will not have much time in the pocket in this game as the Arizona pass rush will be fierce (Scooby Wright for Arizona was PAC 12 DPOY last season with 14 sacks and 15 TFL). The UTSA offensive line lost 179 career starts after last year and now they have only have 2 offensive linemen that have started more than one game. Arizona has a HUGE advantage at the line of scrimmage in this game. On defense, UTSA returns ZERO defensive linemen and also lose 110 starts in the secondary. Arizona returns 85% of their offense from last season and have 2 transfers ready to step in on the offensive line.

UTSA played @ Arizona in 2013 and were listed as a 24.5 road dog and Arizona won 38-13, barely covering the spread. The spread for this game is about 7 points more but the difference is that UTSA had 18 returning starters in 2013 and now have only 6. The other difference is this is Rich-Rod’s 4th year as the Arizona head coach and now his recruits are fitting into the spread offense and they are even more high-powered.

Arizona is led by QB Anu Solomon who shined last season as a freshmen. Arizona scored 42 or more points in 5 games so obviously they have the offensive firepower. I will also note they opened the season last year with a big 58-13 win vs. UNLV as a 23.5 point home favorite. They then traveled on the road to play UTSA where they only won 26-23. Playing on the road, they still outgained UTSA by 105 yards in Solomons 1st career start on the road. Solomon is back at home for this game and in his 2nd year with the offense, look for a lot of points to be put on the board from the Wildcats.  

Arizona will remember the close game from last season and will be highly motivated to step on the gas early and often in this one. This game has ‘Blowout’ written all over it. I know this spread is big, but I think we will see a final score in the 52-13 range. I will say that Arizona will have this spread covered by at least a touchdown and even a late score by UTSA will not make a difference. Arizona -31.5 is definitely worth a closer look on Thursday Night.

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MLB  |  Aug 31, 2015
Cleveland Indians vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Total
7½ un-110
  at  BETONLINE
in 3h

1* Free Play UNDER Indians/Jays.

The visitors hand the ball to Danny Salazar (11-7, 3.30 ERA) who missed his last start due to an illness, but who is slated to go in the opener of this important series; note that Salazar has produced seven quality starts out of his last eight and is 8-4 with a respectable 3.15 ERA in all “night” games this season. The home side counters with ace David Price (11-4, 2.41 ERA) who gave up one run off five hits over six innings while striking out eight in a win over the Rangers on the 26th. Price has excelled “at home” this year, going 4-2 with a solid 2.88 ERA. With these two studs coming into this contest on top form, the UNDER is indeed worthy of a second look in this particular matchup.

AAA Sports

MLB  |  Aug 31, 2015
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore Orioles
+122
  at  5DIMES
in 3h

I’m recommending a play on the Baltimore Orioles on Monday night. The O’s are off a horrible road trip after finishing their last homestand on a rough note. The slump has the Orioles in virtual must-win mode if they wish to grab a wildcard spot. But I’m not recommending a play on the O’s because they “must win.” Instead, I’m backing them because they’re back home with Wei-Yin Chen on the mound. Baltimore enters on a 37-25 winning run at home and Chen has been one of the few bright spots in August. In fact, Chen led the Orioles to their only win on the just completed nightmare of a road trip. Also, take one weak start against Detroit out of the mix (July 31) and you’ll see Chen has posted a 2.67 ERA & 1.18 WHIP in his other 14 starts since June 4. Chris Archer has been inconsistent of late and his numbers against the Orioles are not good since he came into the league a few seasons ago. We have seen Archer post an ERA north of 4.00 in 15 career September appearances and he looks to be a little shaky of late again. I’m recommending a play on the Baltimore Orioles on Monday night. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

MLB  |  Aug 31, 2015
Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Total
7 ov-115
  at  PINNACLE
in 4h

Mike’s MLB *Best of the Rest*
Play: STL@WAS Over
Rating: 8*

Both the St. Louis Cardinals and the Washington Nationals have been swinging hot bats of late and I think we’ll see a high-scoring contest as the National League foes open a three-game series at Busch Stadium Monday. John Lackey will take the ball for the Cardinals. He’s off seven innings of one-run ball at Arizona and has a 1.91 ERA through 13 home starts on the year, but the Nats torched him for five runs on eight hits in 5 2/3 innings at Nationals Park earlier in the season. He has a  4.58 ERA in three career starts versus the Nationals who will turn to Gio Gonzalez. The 29 year old left-hander has dominated the Cards in the past allowing just 23 hits and three runs while walking eight and striking out 25 over a total of 29 innings. He’s 0-3 with a 10.22 ERA in his three outings though while the Cardinals have averaged seven runs per game over their last seven. The Nats have scored 41 runs over their last six for a 6.83 rpg average behind a .299 AVG. 

Note that:
- The over is 4-0 in Gonzalez’s last four starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
- The over is 6-2-1 in Lackey’s last nine starts with four days of rest.
- St. Louis’ Yadier Molina is 4-for-10 with a double and four RBI over his last two games. He’s 5-for-12 with three doubles in previous meetings with Gonzalez. 
- Washington has a .287 team batting average against Lackey. Jayson Werth is 6-for-12 with three doubles against him and is off a 2-for-4 performance Sunday. 

- Mike Lundin is 12-4 (75%) with his last 16 Top Rated 10* Selections. Don’t miss his Monday’s Top Rated 10* MLB *BIG HITTER*. 

MLB  |  Aug 31, 2015
Cleveland Indians vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Total
7½ ov-104
  at  PINNACLE
in 3h

1* free play on the Indians@Jays to go OVER the total.

The Toronto Blue Jays swept the Tigers over the weekend, out-scoring Detroit 29-6 in those games. They host the Cleveland Indians tonight, and with a couple of hot pitchers on the mound, the bookmakers are calling for a closely contested low scoring game. The Jays offense is firing on all cylinders though, and I don’t think anything can stop them at this point.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Pitching - The Jays hand the ball to David Price, who is having another phenomenal season. Price (13-4, 2.42 ERA) allowed two runs on five hits over six innings in a 12-4 win at Texas his last time out. He’s 2-0 with an 0.42 ERA three starts versus Cleveland this season, but the Indians lineup is hitting a respectable .275 against him. The Indians counter with Danny Salazar, who allowed five runs on eight hits over 4/2 innings in a loss in the Bronx in his last start.

2. Edwin Encarnacion - The Jays designated hitter is crushing opposing pitchers over the last seven days, batting .391 with six home runs and 17 RBIs. He’s 2-for-5 with a home run lifetime versus Salazar.

3. X-Factor - Toronto has won 24 of it’s last 29 overall, and they’ve gone over the total in nine of their last 11.

Selection: This is a play on the Indians@Jays to go OVER the total (Free)

MLB  |  Aug 31, 2015
Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis Cardinals
-134
  at  5DIMES
in 4h

Free Pick on Cardinals -

This is a great price to back St. Louis at home against the Nationals. The Cardinals have won 2 straight and 6 of 8 overall. They own the best record in baseball at 84-46, but can’t relax with the Pirates just 4.5-games back. St Louis is a dominant 46-19 at home this season, while the Nationals are just 29-37 on the road. Not to mention the Cardinals have won 13 of the last 16 in the series.

The key here is the starting pitching matchup. The Cardinals will send out John Lackey against Gio Gonzalez. Both of these two pitchers have some pretty extreme splits that favor St Louis. Lackey has a 1.91 ERA and 1.128 WHIP at home, compared to a 4.12 ERA on the road. Gonzalez has a 3.32 ERA at home, but owns an ugly 4.84 ERA in 13 road starts. It’s also worth noting that Lackey has a solid 2.95 ERA in his last 3 starts, while Gonzalez has an awful 10.21 ERA and 2.107 WHIP in his last 3 outings.

St Louis is 15-2 in their last 17 home games after playing 7 or more on the road, 21-6 in their last 27 home games off a win by 2 runs or less and a perfect 9-0 this season at home when Lackey starts following a win. Take St Louis!

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MLB  |  Aug 31, 2015
Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis Cardinals
-134
  at  5DIMES
in 4h

Jack’s Free Pick Monday: St. Louis Cardinals -134

The St. Louis Cardinals are on a mission to clinch the #1 seed in the National League as soon as possible.  They simply never take their foot off the gas.  They have gone 7-1 in their last eight games overall with their only loss coming by a single run.

Now, the Cardinals have a massive edge on the mound tonight over the Nationals and should be much bigger favorites.  John Lackey is 11-8 with a 2.92 ERA and 1.199 WHIP in 26 starts.  But he’s been virtually untouchable at home, going 8-3 with a 1.91 ERA and 1.128 WHIP in 13 home outings.

Gio Gonzalez has been in decline mode over the past couple seasons.  The left-hander is 9-7 with a 4.11 ERA and 1.482 WHIP in 24 starts this year, and 4-4 with a 4.84 ERA and 1.571 WHIP in 13 road starts.  Even more disconcerting for Nationals fans is that Gonzalez is 0-3 with a 10.21 ERA and 2.107 WHIP in his last three starts.

St. Louis is 70-27 (+31.6 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season.  Lackey is 9-0 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.  The Nationals are 26-53 in their last 79 games as an underdog.  St. Louis is 16-3 in Lackey’s last 19 home starts, including 9-0 in his last nine home starts vs. a team with a winning record.  Bet the Cardinals Monday.

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MLB  |  Aug 31, 2015
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks
-105
  at  BETONLINE
in 4h

Price’s Monday Free Play:

1* on Arizona Diamondbacks -105

The Key: The Arizona Diamondbacks only have a little more to play for than the Colorado Rockies tonight as they still hold out hope that they can make a late run at the postseason.  But the Rockies have pretty much packed it in since the All-Star Break after trading away Troy Tulowitzki.  Colorado is 5-14 in its last 19 games overall with little signs of life.  I believe the price we are getting on the Diamondbacks today is well worth it, especially considering they have the advantage on the mound.  Robbie Ray has posted a 3.86 ERA over 16 starts this season, including a 2.75 ERA over nine road starts.  Chad Bettis sports a 4.69 ERA in 14 starts for Colorado, and a 5.18 ERA in seven home starts.  Ray faced the Rockies on the road on May 6, giving up one earned run and five base runners in 6 innings of a 5-1 win.  Colorado is 1-14 (-13.4 Units) against the money line after playing 6 or more consecutive road games this season.  The Rockies are 2-11 in their last 13 games following a win.  The Diamondbacks are 10-2 in their last 12 during game 1 of a series.  Take Arizona.

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MLB  |  Aug 31, 2015
Cleveland Indians vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto Blue Jays
-208
  at  BETONLINE
in 3h

Ryan has two plays that grade as 25* Titans that Ryan is putting to gether as a PARLAY. You can play these as 25* plays individually and then add a ‘REVERSE’ Parlay for optimal gain tonioght when these plays both win. 

10* graded plays on the Boston Red Sox and the Toronto Blue Jays. These plays are a continuation of my ‘arbitrage’ wager where I am selling the Yankees and buying the Blue Jays. The strategy started 23 days days ago when the Yankees held a 6 1/2 game lead over the Blue Jays and is based on the premise that Toronto will catch and pass the NY Yankees in the next 2 to 4 weeks if not sooner. Remember though, the timing is not important, but the trend that has Toronto taking over the lead and an building a lead over the Yankees.

This is day 24 of that strategy and the first 23 days have made $1324 for the $100 wagerer. This profit is not included in my 25*/35*/50* premium Titan profit of $12,250 that is based on the dime player. So, a dime player would have made $13,240 alone  from this arbitrage strategy in just 22 days. 

For those reviewing this strategy for the first time, an arbitrage in Wall Street terms is the simultaneous buying and selling of homogenous securities. So, in the software space, Apple Computer and Microsoft would be considered homogenous securities as woulds the 10-year Treasury Note and the 2-year Treasury Note. If an investor believes that Apple will out perform Microsoft then they would engage in buying Apple and shorting (selling) Microsoft. There is a weighting calculation that needs to be applied as well to equate the securities equally since Apple trades at $115 per share and Microsoft at $47 per share.

Toronto is a modern day murderer’s row and I have been stating that for weeks. There is not one easy out in that lineup and all can hit extremely well. There are two teams that have run differentials over 100. One is Toronto at +196 and then St. Louis at +136. Toronto has scored almost 100 more runs than second best Yankees this season and these differences are only going to continue to widen. 

Boston has not posted their second winning month in what has been a disappointing season. They are 14-12 in August and the last two weeks have been some of their best baseball of the season. Given the rivalry, you can certainly expect a big effort from Boston in this series. 

Supporting Toronto is a solid system posting a 63-15 mark good for 81% winners and has made 36.2 units/unit wagered since 2010. Play on home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (TORONTO) after having won 4 of their last 5 games and is a good team winning between 54% to 62% of their games and is now playing a marginal losing team winning between 46% to 49% of their games. Play Toronto for a 8* ($80 for the $10/* unit player) play and Boston for an 11* ($110 for the $10/* unit player) play. 


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